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Mare Clausum: Why the Black Sea is No Longer a Russian LakeArticle
Russia

Mare Clausum: Why the Black Sea is No Longer a Russian Lake

As traditional naval power yields to asymmetric attrition, the Black Sea has become a laboratory for post-modern warfare. Kyiv’s victory in the naval war, achieved without a fleet, is rewriting the rules of global maritime security.

High84%15 Sept 2025
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The De-Industrialisation of the Rhine: Europe’s New Energy RealityArticle
Russia

The De-Industrialisation of the Rhine: Europe’s New Energy Reality

Europe has successfully severed its reliance on Russian gas, but the victory is pyrrhic. By trading cheap pipeline energy for expensive global LNG, the continent has fundamentally altered its industrial DNA and shifted its dependency westwa

Low66%15 May 2025
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Central Asia: The End of Russian MonopolyArticle
Russia

Central Asia: The End of Russian Monopoly

As Moscow focuses on the Ukrainian front, the five Stans are quietly rewriting the rules of Eurasian trade. Western capital and Chinese infrastructure are dismantling a century of Russian hegemony in the world’s most strategic land corridor

High83%15 Jan 2025
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The Tsar’s Shadow: How Prigozhin Exposed the Russian VerticalArticle
Russia

The Tsar’s Shadow: How Prigozhin Exposed the Russian Vertical

A year after the Wagner mutiny, the Kremlin appears stable, but the internal architecture of power has fundamentally shifted. Behind the surface of unity lies a system forced to trade efficiency for absolute personal loyalty.

Medium73%15 Sept 2024
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The Silken Trap: Moscow’s Eastern Pivot and the Cost of SurvivalArticle
Russia

The Silken Trap: Moscow’s Eastern Pivot and the Cost of Survival

As Russia severs ties with the West, its rapid tilt toward Beijing is often framed as a strategic masterstroke. In reality, Moscow is trading European integration for a lopsided dependency that risks turning Russia into a resource colony.

Medium76%15 May 2024
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Internal Borders: The Structural Geometry of a Frozen UkraineArticle
Russia

Internal Borders: The Structural Geometry of a Frozen Ukraine

As the frontline transitions from movement to endurance, the emergence of a 'New 38th Parallel' is shifting from a military failure into a conscious strategic choice for global powers seeking to contain systemic escalation.

High88%15 Jan 2024
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The Fortress Pivot: Why Sanctions Failed to Break the Russian StateArticle
Russia

The Fortress Pivot: Why Sanctions Failed to Break the Russian State

Western sanctions aimed to collapse the rouble and starve the Russian war machine. Instead, they forced a structural decoupling that accelerated a domestic industrial pivot, creating a resilient, high-pressure economy fueled by redirected e

Low67%15 Sept 2023
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The Arithmetic of Ruin: Why Time is the Ultimate Munition in UkraineArticle
Russia

The Arithmetic of Ruin: Why Time is the Ultimate Munition in Ukraine

The war in Ukraine has transitioned from a kinetic blitz to a brutal competition of industrial endurance. To predict the victor, we must measure the durability of domestic political will against the fragility of global supply chains.

High85%15 May 2023
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Is Armenia shifting from Russia to the US?Article
Europe

Is Armenia shifting from Russia to the US?

High88%22 Sept 2022
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Will Türkiye respond militarily to Greek provocations?Article
Europe

Will Türkiye respond militarily to Greek provocations?

Low67%14 Sept 2022
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Fighting re-ignites between Azerbaijan and Armenia: Is Russia’s influence deteriorating?Article
Europe

Fighting re-ignites between Azerbaijan and Armenia: Is Russia’s influence deteriorating?

High89%5 Aug 2022
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Is Algeria becoming an important actor in Europe’s gas supply?Article
Africa

Is Algeria becoming an important actor in Europe’s gas supply?

Medium68%2 May 2022
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Are Turkish drones stopping Russian advances in Ukraine?Article
Europe

Are Turkish drones stopping Russian advances in Ukraine?

High88%2 Mar 2022
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Will France succeed in replacing the US as the Gulf’s primary partner?Article
Europe·Geopolitics

Will France succeed in replacing the US as the Gulf’s primary partner?

High84%7 Dec 2021
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Will France succeed in replacing the US as the Gulf’s primary partner?Article
Europe

Will France succeed in replacing the US as the Gulf’s primary partner?

Medium79%7 Dec 2021
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Are Azerbaijan and Armenia heading towards reconciliation?Article
Europe

Are Azerbaijan and Armenia heading towards reconciliation?

High86%18 Oct 2021
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Why are Iran and Azerbaijan on the brink of war?Article
Europe

Why are Iran and Azerbaijan on the brink of war?

Medium71%11 Oct 2021
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Is the UAE turning towards Europe as it pulls away from the US?Article
Europe

Is the UAE turning towards Europe as it pulls away from the US?

Medium74%20 Sept 2021
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