Forecast Hub

What Happens Next

Probabilistic, structural forecasts on global power and conflict. Forecasts are assessments, not certainties — each carries a confidence signal and a time horizon.

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Biden administration approves F35 sale to the UAE: Does this represent a forecast for strong US-UAE relations?Forecast
Middle East

Biden administration approves F35 sale to the UAE: Does this represent a forecast for strong US-UAE relations?

High87%Short-term14 Apr 2021
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Tunisia launches first indigenous satellite into space: Does this highlight Tunisia’s technological ambitions?Forecast
Africa

Tunisia launches first indigenous satellite into space: Does this highlight Tunisia’s technological ambitions?

Low65%Short-term26 Mar 2021
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EU foreign policy chief praises Turkey: What has led to the positive development of EU-Turkey ties in recent months?Forecast
Middle East

EU foreign policy chief praises Turkey: What has led to the positive development of EU-Turkey ties in recent months?

Low66%Short-term19 Mar 2021
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Major breakthrough in Libya as parliament approves interim government: Why are there still worries about its future?Forecast
Middle East

Major breakthrough in Libya as parliament approves interim government: Why are there still worries about its future?

Low66%Long-term11 Mar 2021
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Libya’s interim PM submits cabinet proposal to parliament: Will the interim government succeed in unifying Libya?Forecast
Middle East

Libya’s interim PM submits cabinet proposal to parliament: Will the interim government succeed in unifying Libya?

Medium69%Short-term5 Mar 2021
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2021 Forecast: Europe – Will The EU Collapse?Forecast
Europe

2021 Forecast: Europe – Will The EU Collapse?

In 2021, Europe will face challenges both familiar and unforeseen. The future of the old continent will to a large extent depend on the evolving global constellation of forces, but also on the way the European Union chooses to position itse

Medium70%Medium-term31 Jan 2021
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2021 Forecast: Asia – Will Asia Lead The World?Forecast
China

2021 Forecast: Asia – Will Asia Lead The World?

In the Chinese Zodiac, 2021 is the Year of the Ox — considered productive for those who are hardworking and methodical and fully feel the weight of their responsibilities. Seven of the 14 major markets in Asia Pacific – China, Taiwan, Vietn

High88%Long-term31 Jan 2021
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2021 Forecast: Africa – Neocolonialism At Its WorstForecast
Africa

2021 Forecast: Africa – Neocolonialism At Its Worst

On January 1, 2021, African countries began officially trading under a new continent-wide free trade area. The African Continental Free Trade Area aims to bring together 1.3 billion people in a $3.4 trillion economic bloc that will be the l

Medium74%Short-term31 Jan 2021
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Will the Kurdish Regional Government in Iraq go to war with the PKK?Forecast
Middle East

Will the Kurdish Regional Government in Iraq go to war with the PKK?

Medium70%Short-term4 Dec 2020
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Erdogan announces huge gas discovery: Is this the catalyst to Turkey becoming a superpower?Forecast
Middle East

Erdogan announces huge gas discovery: Is this the catalyst to Turkey becoming a superpower?

Low67%Long-term24 Aug 2020
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5 countries that could benefit from COVID-19Forecast
China

5 countries that could benefit from COVID-19

5 countries that could benefit from COVID-19 Global recession, caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, is not hitting all countries equally. Sovereign nations, as well as those that had a good starting point, will recover much easier than those th

Low65%Short-term7 Jun 2020
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5 countries that could benefit from COVID-19Forecast
Russia

5 countries that could benefit from COVID-19

Global recession, caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, is not hitting all countries equally. Sovereign nations, as well as those that had a good starting point, will recover much easier than those that heavily depend on the global trade and mon

Medium70%Medium-term4 May 2020
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The World after Covid-19Forecast

The World after Covid-19

Fear and panic have paralysed the world. The Global economy has literally been shut down and life itself has been put on hold. There is only one news that dominates all the media. However, behind the scenes, major global powers seem to have

Low64%Medium-term3 Apr 2020
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Pakistan is trying to prevent itself from moving into China’s shadowForecast
China

Pakistan is trying to prevent itself from moving into China’s shadow

China-Pakistan economic corridor will amplify Chinese influence on Pakistan China’s belt road initiative has long been forecasted as a project that would give the superpower complete geopolitical and economic dominance in Asia, and its most

High85%Medium-term24 Dec 2019
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How Israel has gained an alliance with the Arab worldForecast
Middle East

How Israel has gained an alliance with the Arab world

The importance of Saudi Arabia and Egypt Israel’s strengthening relationship with Saudi Arabia has built the basis for establishing behind the scenes relations with other Gulf nations, and the arab world as a whole. Saudi Arabia, along with

High84%Long-term21 Dec 2019
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Is power and resource competition a threat to Antarctica?Forecast
China·Geopolitics

Is power and resource competition a threat to Antarctica?

High86%Long-term14 Nov 2019
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Reality check for Boris Johnson: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to KnowForecast
Europe

Reality check for Boris Johnson: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to Know

1. Lack of options for the UK Despite the confidence Boris Johnson has brought to Brexit negotiations, Britain’s position is worse than ever, as they appear to have been backed into a corner. Among the most major economic issues that the UK

Medium68%Short-term22 Aug 2019
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Is Chile Becoming over-reliant on China: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to KnowForecast
China

Is Chile Becoming over-reliant on China: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to Know

1. Chinese digital influence in Chile China has had a growing digital role in Chile and has used it as a tool to expand its digital reach. Technological advances have brought the two countries closer together. China’s ride-hailing company D

High89%Long-term19 Aug 2019
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Protecting the Baltic States: NATO VS EUForecast

Protecting the Baltic States: NATO VS EU

Subscribe to KJ Vids for geopolitical news, analyses and forecasts

Medium79%Long-term14 Aug 2019
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US-Taliban Peace Talks: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to KnowForecast
South Asia

US-Taliban Peace Talks: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to Know

1. Background – US troops withdrawal In the past few months, the US has announced that it is ready to withdraw its troops from Afghanistan, in a gradual withdrawal, but said it would have to find an agreement with the Afghani government and

Medium78%Short-term4 Aug 2019
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Brexit Debates Heat Up: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to KnowForecast
Europe

Brexit Debates Heat Up: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to Know

1. Boris Johnson warns Hard Brexit “will be forced.” Since Boris Johnson was appointed PM, he has made his message clear to the EU, that the UK is ready for a no-deal Brexit. Boris Johnson’s new envoy to Brussels told EU counterparts the UK

Medium70%Long-term3 Aug 2019
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Saudi’s Bin Salman’s Reforms: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to KnowForecast
Middle East

Saudi’s Bin Salman’s Reforms: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to Know

1. Neom to be the beacon of Bin Salman’s reform Two years have passed since the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed Bin Salman, announced his Neom city project worth $500 billion, and it now seems to be finally coming to life as construc

High87%Long-term31 Jul 2019
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Will Ursula Von der Leyden thrive or be doomed?Forecast
Europe

Will Ursula Von der Leyden thrive or be doomed?

High88%Medium-term20 Jul 2019
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Top 10 Geopolitical YouTube ChannelsForecast

Top 10 Geopolitical YouTube Channels

High95%Long-term29 Jun 2019
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