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In 2021, Europe will face challenges both familiar and unforeseen. The future of the old continent will to a large extent depend on the evolving global constellation of forces, but also on the way the European Union chooses to position itself.
Jordan’s recent kinetic intervention against Iranian ordnance signals a fundamental shift in Levantine architecture. Amman has traded the ghost of pan-Arab solidarity for a hard-nosed survivalist pact with Western and Israeli security frameworks.
29 Jul 2026
Baghdad faces a terminal dilemma as the dual-track presence of Iranian influence and American financial-military support becomes unsustainable. The era of playing both sides has reached its structural limit.
29 Jul 2026
Internal legislative paralysis and the erosion of executive war powers signal a structural shift in American grand strategy. Washington is no longer withdrawing by choice, but by domestic necessity, ending the era of global forward presence.
28 Jul 2026
Conventional analysis views Iran’s maritime aggression as a tactical reaction to sanctions. In reality, Tehran is pursuing a deliberate strategy to force global oil prices into a permanent risk premium to fund its internal survival.
26 Jul 2026
Washington has abandoned the pursuit of surgical military strikes in favour of targeting the dual-use infrastructure that keeps modern societies functioning. The shift signals a desperate attempt to regain leverage over Tehran without starting a ground war.
26 Jul 2026
Under the second Trump administration, the United States has pivoted from cautious proxy support to the systematic destruction of adversary infrastructure. This shift marks the definitive end of the post-Cold War era of calibrated conflict management.
25 Jul 2026
