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In 2021, Europe will face challenges both familiar and unforeseen. The future of the old continent will to a large extent depend on the evolving global constellation of forces, but also on the way the European Union chooses to position itself.
As supply chains decouple from China, Mexico is leveraging its industrial surge to redefine its relationship with Washington. But the fusion of economic growth and cartel state-building creates a complex new challenge for American continental hegemony.
12 Oct 2026
President Lula da Silva’s quest for Global South leadership faces a structural impasse. Brazil must now decide if Chinese infrastructure capital is worth the cost of deteriorating security ties with a protective Washington.
12 Oct 2026
While the world watches the Taiwan Strait for warships, the real threat to the First Island Chain is domestic. Taipei’s widening political paralysis is eroding the structural foundations of the Pacific status quo.
10 Oct 2026
Jakarta’s integration into the BRICS framework marks the definitive transition of Southeast Asia from a US-aligned maritime buffer to an independent multipolar anchor, fundamentally altering the logistics of Indo-Pacific power.
8 Oct 2026
Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s pursuit of a permanent naval presence on the Red Sea has fractured the Horn of Africa. This report examines the structural drivers of Ethiopia’s maritime ambition and the risk of systemic regional conflict.
7 Oct 2026
Poland’s massive rearmament and shift to an Atlanticist security model is breaking the EU’s traditional power balance. Warsaw is no longer a junior partner, but the new strategic centre of gravity in Europe.
7 Oct 2026
