Intelligence
Forecasts
33 reports in this category.
Biden administration approves F35 sale to the UAE: Does this represent a forecast for strong US-UAE relations?
14 Apr 2021
Tunisia launches first indigenous satellite into space: Does this highlight Tunisia’s technological ambitions?
26 Mar 2021
EU foreign policy chief praises Turkey: What has led to the positive development of EU-Turkey ties in recent months?
19 Mar 2021
Major breakthrough in Libya as parliament approves interim government: Why are there still worries about its future?
11 Mar 2021
Libya’s interim PM submits cabinet proposal to parliament: Will the interim government succeed in unifying Libya?
5 Mar 2021
2021 Forecast: Europe – Will The EU Collapse?
In 2021, Europe will face challenges both familiar and unforeseen. The future of the old continent will to a large extent depend on the evolving global constellation of forces, but also on the way the European Union chooses to position itself.
31 Jan 2021
2021 Forecast: Asia – Will Asia Lead The World?
In the Chinese Zodiac, 2021 is the Year of the Ox — considered productive for those who are hardworking and methodical and fully feel the weight of their responsibilities. Seven of the 14 major markets in Asia Pacific – China, Taiwan, Vietnam, Singapore, Thailand, Australia, and New Zealand – representing 1.6 billion people or 40 percent of the regional total, are expected to recover faster than the rest of the world.
31 Jan 2021
2021 Forecast: Africa – Neocolonialism At Its Worst
On January 1, 2021, African countries began officially trading under a new continent-wide free trade area. The African Continental Free Trade Area aims to bring together 1.3 billion people in a $3.4 trillion economic bloc that will be the largest free trade area since the establishment of the World Trade Organization.
31 Jan 2021
Will the Kurdish Regional Government in Iraq go to war with the PKK?
4 Dec 2020
Erdogan announces huge gas discovery: Is this the catalyst to Turkey becoming a superpower?
24 Aug 2020
5 countries that could benefit from COVID-19
5 countries that could benefit from COVID-19 Global recession, caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, is not hitting all countries equally. Sovereign nations, as well as those that had a good starting point, will recover much easier than those that heavily depend on the global trade and monetary systems. Rich countries will suffer, but since they accumulated their wealth over the years mostly by robbing the so called third world countries, their economies are expected to revive relatively soon. Poor countries will likely get even poorer, although there could be some exceptions. Please subscribe to read the full article and support KJ Reports. From only £10 per month. Well Worth It!
7 Jun 2020
5 countries that could benefit from COVID-19
Global recession, caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, is not hitting all countries equally. Sovereign nations, as well as those that had a good starting point, will recover much easier than those that heavily depend on the global trade and monetary systems. Rich countries will suffer, but since they accumulated their wealth over the years mostly by robbing the so called third world countries, their economies are expected to revive relatively soon. Poor countries will likely get even poorer, although there could be some exceptions. Please subscribe to read the full article and support KJ Vids. After subscribing you can read the rest of this article. From only £10 per month. Well Worth It!
4 May 2020
The World after Covid-19
Fear and panic have paralysed the world. The Global economy has literally been shut down and life itself has been put on hold. There is only one news that dominates all the media. However, behind the scenes, major global powers seem to have already completed the transformation of the global financial, monetary, energy and trade systems.
3 Apr 2020
Pakistan is trying to prevent itself from moving into China’s shadow
China-Pakistan economic corridor will amplify Chinese influence on Pakistan China’s belt road initiative has long been forecasted as a project that would give the superpower complete geopolitical and economic dominance in Asia, and its most significant aspect, the China-Pakistan economic corridor risks putting Pakistan in a deep economic reliance on China, and hence geopolitically paralyzed in opposing them. Washington’s criticism of the project surrounds this problem. Alice Wells, the top United States diplomat for South Asia, reiterated the Trump leadership’s long-term position on the project last month: aid is an illusion, Pakistan is headed for a debt trap, and Beijing will consolidate all profits. Pakistan’s repayments to China are stretched over 20 years, a timeline aligned with the corridor’s prospective operations. According to official documents with the Ministry of Planning, total payments amount to US$39 billion where US$28 billion accounts for infrastructure and energy projects and US$11 billion accounts for dividends (a sum extracted out of profits). These specifics contest Well’s assertion that the “bulk of payments start to come due in the next four to six years”, and that “the corridor is going to take a growing toll on the Pakistan economy”. China can also take the opportunity to establish military bases and proxies in Pakistan to form a strong counter-balance to India, which may align with Pakistan’s geopolitical rivalry with India, but will hurt its dignity as a regional power and the independence of its military. Subscribe to read the full article We wish we didn't have to do this, but only paid subscribers can read the full article, Unlike other publishers, we are not the beneficiaries of State funds and are entirely dependent on our supporters to keep KJ Vids functioning. Please subscribe to read the rest of the article. The First 1,000 subscribers will receive a 50% lifetime discount to our content. - Access over 500 videos explaining global politics - Full access to all articles - Vote on future video topics - Secure Questions for Video Q&As Sign Up - https://www.kjreports.com/product/lifetimediscount/
24 Dec 2019
How Israel has gained an alliance with the Arab world
The importance of Saudi Arabia and Egypt Israel’s strengthening relationship with Saudi Arabia has built the basis for establishing behind the scenes relations with other Gulf nations, and the arab world as a whole. Saudi Arabia, along with Egypt are the leading geopolitical figures in the Arab world, and their foreign policy often acts as a reference point that surrounding nations are expected to use to navigate their own ties. Hence, Israel’s strong foundational relationship with Egypt and Saudi Arabia, that has come out of large “necessity” in Egypt, and a variety of factors in Saudi Arabia has opened the gates for Israel to establish ties with the Arab world. Saudi Arabia has built a strong relationship with Israel, that is not so informal anymore. Two of the main reasons for warming relations are first, a common enemy in Iran, and secondly, strengthening bilateral ties with the US. The role of Iran in bringing Israel and Saudi Arabia is undeniable, as it has served as a source of common interest for the two nations, and Iran’s opposing role to Saudi in the Yemen war has been the biggest factor in helping Saudi put its differences with Israel aside. Meanwhile, US Israeli ties have followed the same trend of US Saudi ties, although Saudi’s relationship with the US goes a long time back, due to its oil sales, as well as geopolitical importance. Saudi Arabia also needs alternative export routes for its oil, and Israel is willing to help. Saudi Arabia intends to get Saudi oil to the deep harbour of Haifa for export to Europe and the West. This would be a much safer, faster and more secure way to guarantee Saudi exports to the west, as it would avoid Iranian aggression at the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab al-Mandeb Strait in the Red Sea. It would also save the considerable transit fees involved in crossing the Suez Canal. Subscribe to read the full article We wish we didn't have to do this, but only paid subscribers can read the full article, Unlike other publishers, we are not the beneficiaries of State funds and are entirely dependent on our supporters to keep KJ Vids functioning. Please subscribe to read the rest of the article. The First 1,000 subscribers will receive a 50% lifetime discount to our content. - Access over 500 videos explaining global politics - Full access to all articles - Vote on future video topics - Secure Questions for Video Q&As Sign Up - https://www.kjreports.com/product/lifetimediscount/
21 Dec 2019
Is power and resource competition a threat to Antarctica?
14 Nov 2019
Reality check for Boris Johnson: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to Know
1. Lack of options for the UK Despite the confidence Boris Johnson has brought to Brexit negotiations, Britain’s position is worse than ever, as they appear to have been backed into a corner. Among the most major economic issues that the UK will face in the case of a hard Brexit, regardless of preparations, are a weaker pound and slowing economic growth. In the event of a no-deal Brexit, the exchange rate of the pound sterling would probably fall, inflation would rise and GDP growth would be slower, according to the minutes of the British central bank’s monetary policy meeting. In its quarterly inflation report, issued on Thursday, the BoE also lowered its growth forecast for 2019 and 2020 to 1.3% from the original forecast of 1.5% and 1.6% respectively, due to Brexit uncertainties and slower global economic growth. Meanwhile, a no-deal Brexit would be even more catastrophic to the economy. 2. Merkel gives Johnson ultimatum to avoid no-deal Brexit Angela Merkel has challenged Boris Johnson to come up with a solution to avert a no-deal Brexit “in the next 30 days” after the British PM’s meeting with the German Chancellor to discuss the situation. Merkel also suggested that the backstop was “a placeholder that will no longer be necessary” if a solution to the impasse over the Irish border can be found. The strong stance of Merkel and the EU has seemed to soften Johnson’s stance as in response to Merkel’s overture, he sought to convey a willingness to compromise in his appearance with Merkel, saying that he was “glad” to hear his German counterpart setting such a “blistering timetable”. Subscribe to unlock the other 3 Points We wish we didn't have to do this, but only paid subscribers can read the full article, Unlike other publishers, we are not the beneficiaries of State funds and are entirely dependent on our supporters to keep KJ Vids functioning. Please subscribe to read the rest of the article. The First 1,000 subscribers will receive a 50% lifetime discount to our content. - Access over 500 videos explaining global politics - Full access to all articles - Vote on future video topics - Secure Questions for Video Q&As Sign Up - https://www.kjreports.com/product/lifetimediscount/
22 Aug 2019
Is Chile Becoming over-reliant on China: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to Know
1. Chinese digital influence in Chile China has had a growing digital role in Chile and has used it as a tool to expand its digital reach. Technological advances have brought the two countries closer together. China’s ride-hailing company DiDi Chuxing, which launched its operation in Chile in June, have had a big impact in Chile, while Chinese made electric buses have dominated the public transport sphere. Online commerce website Ali express has become popular in Chile, while the increased popularity of products and services of Chinese origin reflect China’s growing presence in the South American country, and its “natural and quotidian” nature. 2. Chile’s copper exports to China Chile is the world’s largest producer of copper, and a big proportion of its exports go to China. However, in its second quarterly report the Chilean Copper Commission (COCHILCO) reduced its 2020 projection from US$3.08 to US$2.90 a pound, it said in a statement. The drop is because China “is experiencing a cycle of economic slowdown that has undermined expectations for short-term demand,” said the statement. That was exacerbated by “macroeconomic and global geopolitical tensions that have reduced the projections of worldwide growth,” largely due to a trade war between China and the United States, COCHILCO said. This has had a big impact on Chile’s economy and shows that its over-reliance of exports to China could hurt them. Subscribe to unlock the other 3 Points We wish we didn't have to do this, but only paid subscribers can read the full article, Unlike other publishers, we are not the beneficiaries of State funds and are entirely dependent on our supporters to keep KJ Vids functioning. Please subscribe to read the rest of the article. The First 1,000 subscribers will receive a 50% lifetime discount to our content. - Access over 500 videos explaining global politics - Full access to all articles - Vote on future video topics - Secure Questions for Video Q&As Sign Up - https://www.kjreports.com/product/lifetimediscount/
19 Aug 2019