Intelligence
Ukraine
16 reports in this category.
Are the upcoming Saudi-led Ukraine peace talks futile?
5 Aug 2023
Why is Saudi Arabia sending $400 million to Ukraine?
18 Oct 2022
How can Israel’s stance in the Russia Ukraine conflict be defined?
25 Mar 2022
How will Russia’s invasion of Ukraine impact the Middle East?
18 Mar 2022
Does the UAE’s reaction to Russia’s invasion display its decisive shift to the East?
4 Mar 2022
Are Turkish drones stopping Russian advances in Ukraine?
2 Mar 2022
Will Turkey prevent Russia and Ukraine going to war?
26 Jan 2022
War on the horizon: Will Turkey help Ukraine defeat Russia?
24 Dec 2021
Why is Turkey is forming a strategic partnership with Ukraine?
21 Dec 2020
Demystifying Russia’s Hybrid Warfare in Europe
27 Aug 2019
Russia and the G8: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to Know
1. Russian Concessions to the West The US President Donald Trump expressed his support for reinstating Russia into the G8. The Kremlin would certainly have to make some serious concessions in order to renew its membership in this inter-governmental political forum. French President Emmanuel Macron already said that Russia can't return to the G8 format before the Ukrainian crisis is resolved. In other words, Moscow will, most likely, have to end its support to the self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic and Lugansk People's Republic. Such move will be seen as an open betrayal of the pro-Russian forces in the Donbass. However, the Kremlin political technologists will undoubtedly try to portray it as another geopolitical victory. 2. Return of Crimea as a Condition Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, on the other hand, wrote on Facebook that Russia can return to the G8 if it returns Crimea to Ukraine, ends the conflict in the Donbass and releases 24 Ukrainian sailors who were captured at the end of the last year during the Kerch Strait accident. During the Macron-Putin meeting on Monday, French leader said a resolution of Russia's annexation of Crimea would be the "magic wand" to bring Russia back into the G7. Even though Russia was expelled from the old G8 format after it incorporated Crimea into the Russian Federation in March 2014, at this point it's unlikely that Moscow will be willing to discuss the future of the peninsula. Subscribe to unlock the other 3 Points We wish we didn't have to do this, but only paid subscribers can read the full article, Unlike other publishers, we are not the beneficiaries of State funds and are entirely dependent on our supporters to keep KJ Vids functioning. Please subscribe to read the rest of the article. The First 1,000 subscribers will receive a 50% lifetime discount to our content. - Access over 500 videos explaining global politics - Full access to all articles - Vote on future video topics - Secure Questions for Video Q&As Sign Up - https://www.kjreports.com/product/lifetimediscount/
22 Aug 2019
Will Ukraine begin the breakup of the Russian Federation?
Ukraine is firmly under the US sphere of influence. After the violent protests in Kiev’s Maidan in 2014, when Ukraine’s president Victor Yanukovich was ousted, Russia completely lost control over the former Soviet republic and a very important geopolitical spot. Moscow tried to compensate the loss of Kiev by annexing Crimea. However, from the political and military perspective, such move cannot be interpreted as Russian victory. Russians already had their own military bases and troops stationed in Crimea, where the majority of population are ethnic Russians. In the winter of 2014, when it became obvious that Ukraine is lost, Russia simply had to do something in order to save its reputation at least as a regional power. It decided to annex Crimea and later to create two proxy states in the Donbass called the Donetsk People’s Republic and the Lugansk People’s Republic. The same year, during the post-Maidan chaos in destabilized Ukraine, Russia had an opportunity to capture a huge area in the southeast of the country, that was historically called Novorossiya, and that is inhabited by the Russian speaking population. Had Russia seized the seven southeastern Ukrainian regions, and not just Crimea, Ukraine would’ve remained a landlocked country without any military and industrial potentials. Presently, Russian sphere of influence in Ukraine ends at the Donetsk front line. The Novorossiya project was abandoned, and the Kremlin officials and propagandists explained on many occasions that they had to give up Ukraine in order to avoid World War 3. It’s interesting that, on the other hand, Russia sent its troops to Syria to help President Bashar Assad fight the Western backed proxies, without any fears of the World War 3. Subscribe to unlock the other 3 Points We wish we didn't have to do this, but only paid subscribers can read the full article, Unlike other publishers, we are not the beneficiaries of State funds and are entirely dependent on our supporters to keep KJ Vids functioning. Please subscribe to read the rest of the article. By investing in KJ Vids, you are investing in yourself Our content succinctly contextualises the key geopolitical trends you need to know in order to make sense of world events. We can assure you that a regular dose of our content will be as healthy as fruit and vegetables for your mind. Subscribe for only £10 a month.
19 Aug 2019
French President Emmanuel Macron to meet Vladimir Putin: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to Know
1. Pressure on Russia French President Emmanuel Macron is due to host Russian President Vladimir Putin for talks at his holiday residence in Bregancon in southern France on Monday. Putin is seldom invited by major Western powers for visits at a time of growing tensions between Russia and the West. Macron is expected to put pressure on Russian leader to end the conflict in the Donbass and to release 24 Ukrainian sailors captured during the Kerch Strait incident at the end of last year. 2. The Implementation of the Minsk Agreements According to Alexander Baunov, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Moscow Center, the main public issue will be reviving the Minsk accords signed in 2015. Recently, Russia, Ukraine and the OSCE have recently announced an “indefinite” ceasefire in the Donbass. As expected, the truce has not been implemented, and the Minsk agreements remain a dead letter. “Peace progress” is possible only if Moscow ends its support to the self-proclaimed Donetsk People’s Republic and Lugansk People’s Republic. It remains to be seen if Putin will be ready to fulfil such demands. Subscribe to unlock the other 3 Points We wish we didn't have to do this, but only paid subscribers can read the full article, Unlike other publishers, we are not the beneficiaries of State funds and are entirely dependent on our supporters to keep KJ Vids functioning. Please subscribe to read the rest of the article. The First 1,000 subscribers will receive a 50% lifetime discount to our content. - Access over 500 videos explaining global politics - Full access to all articles - Vote on future video topics - Secure Questions for Video Q&As Sign Up - https://www.kjreports.com/product/lifetimediscount/
18 Aug 2019
Ukraine Court Rules to Seize Russia’s Tanker: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to Know
2 Aug 2019
Russia – Ukraine Ceasefire: 5 Geopolitical Effects You Need to Know
1. “Indefinite” truce announced Russia, Ukraine and the OSCE have announced an “indefinite” ceasefire in the Donbass. Since the beginning of the conflict in 2014 several ceasefires have been announced and none of them was ever respected. Both, Ukrainian armed forces and Russia backed Donetsk People’s (DPR) Republic and Lugansk People’s Republic (LPR) violated the truce on a daily basis. 2. Shelling goes on It’s extremely unlikely that the brand new ceasefire will be implemented. Since the US never took part in any negotiations over the Donbass conflict in the past five years, chances for a sustainable truce are very slim. After the events in Maidan in Kiev in 2014, Ukraine is firmly under the US geopolitical sphere of influence. Even though the ceasefire won’t come into the effect, any major military offensives are not likely to happen either. Due to fear of sanctions, Russia’s been preventing its proxies from capturing new territories since the Debaltsevo offensive in 2015. Ukraine, on the other hand, won’t dare to start a massive assault until it gets firm guarantees that Moscow won’t intervene. In the meantime, the people of the Donbass will keep living under constant shelling. 3. No special status for the Donbass Ukraine is not ready to recognise the special status of the Donbass under any circumstances, and that’s something that the Kremlin’s proposing. The Ukrainian society would see such move as an open betrayal, and it’s also unlikely that the West would agree with the idea. As long as the war in Donbass goes on, the EU and the US have a strong reason to keep imposing new packages of sanctions on Russia and weaken its economy. Russia is already spending a significant amount of money funding its proxies in the Donbass, and in the long term the price of keeping that territory under the Russian sphere of influence might be too high.
27 Jul 2019
Volodomir Zelensky’s Success in Ukraine : Redemption or Damnation?
24 Jul 2019