A review of what events took place in 2016
2016 – The Year of Death
31 December 2016551
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The Aden Choke: Global Maritime Liberalism Under Final Siege
The Red Sea crisis has evolved from a regional skirmish into a systemic failure of Western sea power. As non-state actors disrupt the Suez artery, the era of guaranteed oceanic freedom is ending, replaced by a fragmented, costly reality.
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The Qasem Gambit: Why Tehran’s Maritime Strategy Breaks US Naval Power
Iran’s evolution into a sophisticated anti-access maritime power has rendered the traditional US carrier strike group obsolete in the Persian Gulf, forcing a fundamental rethink of Western power projection in the Middle East.
8 Sept 2026
Middle East
The Fujairah Paradox: The End of the Western Security Umbrella
As Iranian drone incursions breach the strategic Port of Fujairah, the UAE is quietly dismantling its reliance on Western protection. This shift marks the rise of a new, transactional security architecture in the Gulf.
7 Sept 2026
Middle East
The Emirates Buffer: Abu Dhabi’s Strategic Disengagement
As tensions between Washington and Tehran reach a volatile equilibrium, the United Arab Emirates is quietly decoupling its security architecture from Western-led containment to pursue a policy of radical neutrality and economic preservation.
7 Sept 2026
Middle East
The Larak Conundrum: Tehran’s Shift to Preemptive Deterrence
Iran has abandoned the doctrine of 'strategic patience' for a model of proactive intervention. This shift signals the death of managed escalation and introduces a volatile new era for global energy security and maritime power.
6 Sept 2026
Middle East
The Larak Escalation: Tehran’s New Doctrine of Preemptive Defence
Iran has abandoned its long-standing policy of 'strategic patience' for a high-risk preemptive doctrine. By striking first near Larak, Tehran signals that the era of proportional response is dead, reshapping the Persian Gulf power map.
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