Why Somalia is a failed State

Why are tensions rising between Somalia and the UAE?

22 Feb 2021

The Amman Alignment: Jordan’s Break from the Pan-Arabist Fiction

Jordan’s recent kinetic intervention against Iranian ordnance signals a fundamental shift in Levantine architecture. Amman has traded the ghost of pan-Arab solidarity for a hard-nosed survivalist pact with Western and Israeli security frameworks.

29 Jul 2026

The Iraqi Re-Alignment: Sovereignty vs Security in a Bipolar Baghdad

Baghdad faces a terminal dilemma as the dual-track presence of Iranian influence and American financial-military support becomes unsustainable. The era of playing both sides has reached its structural limit.

29 Jul 2026

The Hegemon’s Fatigue: The End of US Forward Presence

Internal legislative paralysis and the erosion of executive war powers signal a structural shift in American grand strategy. Washington is no longer withdrawing by choice, but by domestic necessity, ending the era of global forward presence.

28 Jul 2026

The Hormuz Leverage: Why Tehran Engineered an Oil Crisis

Conventional analysis views Iran’s maritime aggression as a tactical reaction to sanctions. In reality, Tehran is pursuing a deliberate strategy to force global oil prices into a permanent risk premium to fund its internal survival.

26 Jul 2026

The Infrastructure Ultimatum: Resetting Deterrence via Civilian Pain

Washington has abandoned the pursuit of surgical military strikes in favour of targeting the dual-use infrastructure that keeps modern societies functioning. The shift signals a desperate attempt to regain leverage over Tehran without starting a ground war.

26 Jul 2026